El Niño Advisory: El Niño conditions are present. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the western and central Pacific, while near-to-below average SSTs are evident in the eastern Pacific. There is an approximately 50-60% chance that El Niño conditions will continue through Southern Hemisphere winter 2015.
Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe and parts of the Mediterranean Basin with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the North Pacific Ocean and through the South Pacific Islands. Northern Australia and the South Indian Ocean will have below average winds. Much of Asia and Africa will be near normal.
Much of the northern hemisphere should expect slightly below normal solar radiation levels for the month as will Australia and much of Africa. New Zealand and much of South America will be near normal for solar radiation.
Northeast Asia and Northeast North America are expected to be cooler as will much of Central Africa and South America and much of the rest of the world will be near normal accept in the Pacific Ocean where the eastern Pacific through to the equatorial Pacific will be much warmer than normal as will be the eastern Pacific off of South America. While the North Atlantic area will be cooler than normal the Atlantic to the east of the Caribbean will be warmer than normal. The east coast of China will be warmer than normal as will be the Nusa Tengarra region of Indonesia.
Large parts of Central Mexico and the US Southwest and Southern USA could have extreme precipitation although most areas are just slightly wetter. Central China and Western Africa could have extreme precipitation events. Papua New Guinea, Java and Sumatra and the Southern Malay Peninsula and the Philippines could be unusually dry along with East Central Africa and parts of the Amazon Basin.