El Niño Advisory: El Niño conditions are present. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the western and central Pacific, while near-to-below average SSTs are evident in the eastern Pacific. There is an approximately 50-60% chance that El Niño conditions will continue through Southern Hemisphere winter 2015.
Most landmasses will experience average wind conditions for the month other than Western Europe with above average wind conditions. Winds will be greater than average in the North Pacific Ocean and through the South Pacific Islands and to the through the Southern Ocean east of New Zealand and the North Atlantic. Northern Australia and the North Indian Ocean will have below average winds. Much of Asia and Africa will be near normal.
Much of the northern hemisphere should be near normal or slightly below normal for solar radiation levels for the month. Australia will be near normal and much of South America below normal. The Middle East could be moderately below normal as well as Florida and the Bahamas.
Northeast Asia is expected to be may cool outbreaks as will be much of Central Africa, South America, Australia and west coast of the South Island of New Zealand and the southern USA while much of the rest of the world could be near normal accept in the Pacific Ocean where the north Pacific through to the equatorial Pacific will be much warmer than normal as will be the eastern Pacific off of South America. While the North Atlantic area will be cooler than normal the Atlantic to the east of the Caribbean will be warmer than normal and along the eastern seaboard of the USA and Canada. The east coast of China will be warmer than normal as will be the Nusa Tengarra region of Indonesia.
Large parts of Central Mexico and the US Southwest and Southern USA and Bahamas could have extreme precipitation although most areas are just slightly wetter. Central China, Western Africa and Southern Brazil and parts of Argentina could have extreme precipitation events. Papua New Guinea, Southern Malay Peninsula and the Philippines could be unusually dry along with parts of the Amazon Basin.